Pre-Tariff Versus Post-Tariff: Russian Crude Imports Show Clear Decline Pattern

A comparison of pre-tariff and post-tariff Russian crude import values to India reveals a clear pattern of decline following the August 27, 2025 implementation of US punitive measures. While US crude imports to India surged by 65.6% to $8.2 billion during April-December 2025, Russian crude imports contracted by more than 17%, falling from $40 billion to $33.1 billion in the same period.
December 2025 import data illustrates the post-tariff reality. Russian crude shipments to India totaled $2.71 billion, down 15.15% from $3.2 billion in December 2024, making Russia the only supplier among India’s top five to experience negative growth. This contrasts with pre-tariff months when Russian crude held a more stable position.
India’s other major suppliers demonstrated resilience and growth. Saudi Arabia achieved exceptional performance with a 61% year-on-year increase, supplying crude valued at $1.75 billion in December 2025. The United States recorded a 31% gain to $569.30 million. Iraq posted a 4.56% rise to $2.37 billion, while UAE deliveries grew 6% to $1.65 billion.
The monthly progression of Russian crude imports clearly demarcates the pre-tariff and post-tariff periods. July 2025 (pre-tariff) saw imports of $3.62 billion. Following the August 27 tariff implementation, imports were $3.59 billion in August, $3.32 billion in September, $3.56 billion in October, $3.72 billion in November, before falling sharply to $2.71 billion in December 2025.
India’s total crude oil imports from approximately 39 countries reached $11.29 billion in December 2025, up 9.1% from $10.34 billion in December 2024. Cumulative imports for April-December 2025 totaled $105.10 billion, versus $109.33 billion in the corresponding period of 2024. Officials emphasize that diversification based on market conditions supports energy security objectives.